NFTs

Collections 31 to 180 days old, scored 0 to 100 on whether real, spread-out buyers keep arriving and holding: early buyers still holding, how close the best offer is to the floor, buyers who keep coming week to week, buyers and owners per piece, how much the top 10 wallets hold, and little wash trading. Still holding is the share of buyers from 30 to 120 days ago who have not sold. Ordered by that score, where each failed entry check costs 15 points; the score itself is not shown. Tier needs every entry check passed (top 10 wallets under 25%, offer near the floor, little wash trading, enough owners); Strong fit also needs a score of 60. Names are the projects' own. Untested on collections this young.

Profile-picture collections scored 0 to 10 on what should still matter in 15 years: significance, canonicity, scarcity, integrity, demand, valuation and liquidity. vs stocks weighs three outcomes over 15 years by our odds for each collection: a 10x in ETH, a bleed to a tenth, or survival losing 3% a year against ETH, with ETH keeping pace with stocks until the NFT line above reads Add. The 10x is measured from the price when the odds were set, so a lower price now reads better. ETH needed is the yearly ETH gain each needs to match stocks; Strong fit needs 2 times stocks. ETH is $2,376, 10% above its 200-day average.

Generative art collections from our watch list scored 0 to 100 on what a 10x needs: canon, a living community, room to grow below CryptoPunks, new collectors, supply nobody can add to, art stored on-chain, and timing. Traits counts how many of five it has (canon, community, new collectors, undiluted, on-chain). Only collections that kept 90% of their peak holders get a tier. vs stocks weighs three outcomes over 15 years by our odds for each: a 10x in ETH, a fall to a tenth, or holding on while losing 3% a year against ETH. Strong fit needs 2 times stocks. vs stocks is read with ETH keeping pace with stocks until the NFT line above reads Add, and the 10x is measured from the price when the odds were set. Thinly traded pieces are priced from their last year of sales, so check Last sale.

AI art collections from our watch list scored 0 to 100 on what a 10x needs: canon, a living community, room to grow below CryptoPunks, new collectors, supply nobody can add to, art stored on-chain, and timing. Traits counts how many of five it has (canon, community, new collectors, undiluted, on-chain). Only collections that kept 90% of their peak holders get a tier. vs stocks weighs three outcomes over 15 years by our odds for each: a 10x in ETH, a fall to a tenth, or holding on while losing 3% a year against ETH. Strong fit needs 2 times stocks. vs stocks is read with ETH keeping pace with stocks until the NFT line above reads Add, and the 10x is measured from the price when the odds were set. Thinly traded pieces are priced from their last year of sales, so check Last sale.