Stage Two Research

Indicators & Research Tools

Data-driven dashboards for crypto cycle timing and Bittensor subnet allocation. Live data, transparent methodology, opinionated signals.

On-Chain · Macro · Cycle
● LIVE
BTC Composite Bottom Indicator
Ten adaptive indicators blended into a single bottom-probability score. Updated daily from live on-chain, macro, and cycle data.
Indicators
10
Cadence
Daily
Coverage
2013→Now
Bittensor · dTAO · Subnets
● LIVE
Subnet Scores
Investment scoring across ~128 Bittensor subnets. Machine-learning model trained on 12 months of historical performance, surfaces BUY / WATCH / SELL signals.
Subnets
128
Cadence
5 min
Model
RF + GB
Macro · Labor · Credit
● LIVE
US Recession Indicator
Nowcast and 12-month forward recession composites built from 11 FRED series — Sahm rule, yield curve, credit spreads, and more — cross-checked against the Chauvet-Piger benchmark.
Indicators
11
Source
FRED
Cadence
Daily
Equities · Risk · Regime
● LIVE
S&P 500 Correction Signal
Odds of a 10% drop in the next 1 and 3 months — measured, not modeled. Classifies today's market regime, then counts how often a correction historically followed, plus live credit and conditions gauges.
History
1950→Now
Source
Yahoo + FRED
Cadence
Daily
Bitcoin · Risk · Regime
● LIVE
Bitcoin Crash Signal
Odds of a 20% BTC drop in the next 30 and 90 days — measured, not modeled. De-overlapped counts with confidence intervals across full-history and 2018+ eras, plus leverage, valuation, and macro gauges.
History
2010→Now
Source
Coin Metrics + FRED
Cadence
Daily
Altcoins · Rotation · Regime
● LIVE
Alt Season Setup Score
A 0-100 conditions meter for whether a broad altcoin rotation is assembling — early breadth, ETH/BTC, stablecoin dry powder, liquidity, and BTC condition — with guards and a lagging confirmation index.
Conditions
6 + guards
Source
CoinGecko + Llama
Cadence
Daily
NFTs · Floors · Regime
● LIVE
Blue-Chip NFT Setup Score
A 0-100 meter for whether blue-chip NFT floors are set up to beat ETH over ~3 months — ETH wealth-effect, floor trend, valuation, holder breadth — with kill-switches that suspend the score when the market is too illiquid to read.
Basket
8 chips
Source
CoinGecko
Confidence
Low (perm.)
STAGE TWO RESEARCHRESEARCH, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE